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Iran nuclear talks headed for overtime, predict experts

Laura Rockwood, Senior Research Fellow, Project on Managing the Atom, Belfer CenterLaura Rockwood, Senior Research Fellow in the Project on Managing the Atom at the Belfer Center, discusses the likely outcome of the current phase of Iranian nuclear negotiations, which conclude on November 24th, in an interview with Deutsche Welle. She doubts that a full comprehensive agreement will be reached on the 24th, and argues that some extension of the Joint Plan of Action (JPA) will continue with an extension of the negotiations.

Going It Alone on Iran

William TobeyWilliam Tobey writes in Foreign Policy that the Obama administration should be cautious about going forward with its plan to roll back Iran sanctions by executive order in the event of a comprehensive nuclear deal. That plan, Tobey argues, would leave the deal vulnerable to the whims of the next president and to a larger backlash from the American public. He writes:

[President Obama] must not "bypass" Congress.  Even if he chooses not to seek a Congressional vote on an Iran deal, he will need to make a convincing case to skeptics of both parties that he has addressed their concerns and seeks their support.  He should do this even as negotiations proceed.  If he finds that he is unable to answer their arguments successfully, he should perhaps reconsider his positions. 

Watch: Gary Samore on the future of the Iran nuclear negotiations

SamoreGary Samore, speaking in Oslo on September 20th at the International Institute for Strategic Studies's Global Strategic Review, reiterated his skepticism that a final nuclear accord will be reached with Iran in the near future. Despite steps forward in the structure of negotiations, he argued, underlying factors make a comprehensive deal unlikely. Watch the video and read the full text of his speech after the jump.

"A sense of desperation"

William TobeyWilliam Tobey examines Iran's recent failure to meet IAEA deadlines to cooperate with the Agency's investigation of Iran's past nuclear activities. Tehran's lack of cooperation, Tobey argues, should serve as a warning to the P5+1 as pressure to conclude a deal grows.

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